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Bank Default Rates on CRE Loans Projected to Hit 4% in Fourth Quarter

Deterioration in property cash flow, erosion of reserves to cover shortfalls in debt service and little credit to refinance maturing mortgages all contributed to a higher default rate on commercial real estate mortgages held by depository institutions in the third quarter. That’s according to New York-based Real Estate Econometrics, which analyzed data recently published by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC). The national default rate rose to 3.4% in the third quarter, up from 2.88% in the second quarter. Meanwhile, the national multifamily mortgage default rate jumped from 3.14% to 3.58% over the same period. The ...

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